10 March, 2017
With voting finally coming to an end in Uttar Pradesh, we are inching closer to the final results for all five states where elections were held - UP, Punjab, Goa, Uttarakhand, and Manipur.
Of the 403 Assembly berths in UP, India Today-Axis projected 251 to 279 seats to the BJP, 88-112 to SP-Congress and 28-42 seats to BSP. Two polls show the Congress winning, the other shows AAP ahead.
With the dangers of polarisation looming over the Hindi heartland of UP, considerable movement of narcotics in Punjab, and a not so optimum an environment in Manipur, the elections were a challenge. The Shiromani Akali Dal-BJP combine was projected to be decimated in the State which it has ruled for a decade.
In Uttarakhand, both the BJP and Congress were neck and neck and may fall short of majority, the exit polls said. Today's Chanakya was perhaps the only agency in 2014 to predict that BJP would get more than 70 seats in the state in 2014-at a time when even Amit Shah thought his party would get only around 50 seats. The India TV C-voter exit poll claimed that the BJP will win 15-21 seats while Congress remains second with 12-18.More news: Several injured in attack at German train station; 2 arrests
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If these numbers are correct, BJP is in for victory in the crucial state of Uttar Pradesh. The SP had conceded 105 seats to the Congress while keeping 298 for itself, after hectic negotiations. MyIndia-Axis, meanwhile, is much closer to the Today's Chanakya prediction, with a forecast of 265 seats to the BJP, a figure that would give it a comfortable majority.
The counting of votes will take place on March 11. They predicted 0-2 seats for AAP while 3-6 seats to MGP and 1-3 to others. It will be interesting to see how accurate the exit poll results will be.
However, SP leader Naresh Aggarwal was non-committal about suggestions that the SP-Congress alliance would tie up with BSP to keep BJP away from the seat of power.
Although exit polls predicted different results for the state, an average shows that Congress led by the chief minister Okram Ibobi Singh is likely to win the state and stop the BJP surge in the state.