Brewing Caribbean storm could become tropical cyclone in two days

Hurricane Fernanda Update: July 16, 2017
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Scattered downpours return; lower rain chances by late-week
Author

19 July, 2017

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the storm's center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles, the NHC said.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for Granada and St Vincent and the Grenadines, while Barbados, St Lucia and Bonaire are under tropical storm watches.

Forecasts expect the storm to continue moving westward through the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Because Don is easily influenced, "it can not be stressed enough that confidence in the intensity forecast is very low at this time", in the words of the National Hurricane Center. Because Don is in an area with low wind shear and warm water, forecasters noted that the storm could strengthen Tuesday.

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Within 36 hours, Don will degrade the storm into a tropical wave, the National Hurricane Center said.

Tropical Storm Bret took nearly an identical path almost a month ago to the day.

There was no discussion in the Tuesday 5 a.m. advisory of the storm threatening the continental U.S.in the future. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 45 miles per hour (75 km/h) with higher gusts. The storm is expected to gain forward speed through Wednesday. It formed Monday afternoon and is located about 500 miles east-southeast of the southern Lesser Antilles. If it becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, it's name would be - wait for it - Hilary.

Westerly winds are likely to prevent Don from reaching the United States.


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